While I don’t lose sleep over the modest 40 times of bigger backs, undersized running back prospects need to justify their early-round consideration with standout traits to outweigh the risk that they won’t hold up over 200 or more professional carries per season. Player to watch: Will Devon Achane run a sub-4.3-second 40 time? And in fact, backs can rarely even take advantage of their top-end speed in game situations, which is why the combine added other drills like the 3-cone and short shuttle that aim to measure requirements of the position like quickness and cutting ability that more frequently come into play. But if all you knew about a prospect was his expected draft round and his 40 time, the former is dramatically more important for fantasy projection. An unexpectedly slow 40 time could signal that a prospect is less athletic than he appears on film, which is important context especially for players who played in non-power conferences. And many of the slowest late-round backs are actually fullbacks. But many of the fastest late-round backs are undersized and drafted to play special teams. Spiller (4.27) tend to find their way into the first round and pull those lower quartiles down. The freakish of freak athletes like Chris Johnson (4.24 seconds) and C.J. And the running back 40 picture is particularly muddy. The key point here and for everything in the combine is that no one measurement or drill paints a full picture of the prospects or the demands of their positions in the NFL. The public discourse for the combine centers on the 40-yard dash, and so you might be surprised to see that the median time for running backs barely increases from 4.46 seconds for Round 1 picks to 4.50 seconds for Round 2, 3 and 4 picks. Sign up for an FTN subscription today! Running Backs 40-Yard Dash
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